An icebreaker
Since 1998, psychologist Roger Nelson has run a worldwide network of random number generators, arguing their output shifts slightly during major world events, as if shared attention left a trace. Statisticians who reanalyzed the same data reached far more cautious conclusions.
He founded the project in 1998 to test whether widely shared human attention or emotion correlates with shifts in a global network of random number generators, and has argued the combined data show a small, consistent departure from chance.
With a colleague, he reanalyzed the project's September 11 dataset and found the reported effect depended on the exact time window chosen, concluding the widely cited result was likely fortuitous rather than a genuine signal.
Working with a colleague, he applied an alternative statistical method to the same September 11 data and found only chance-level deviations throughout, challenging the project's headline claim about that event.